RISK ANALYSIS OF SOYBEAN AND CORN CROPS IN THE MATOPIBA REGION

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61673/ren.2024.1576

Keywords:

Coefficient of variation, Substitution effect, Agricultural frontier

Abstract

A region that has gained prominence in grain production is the agricultural frontier, called MATOPIBA (Maranhão, Tocantins, Piauí and Bahia), in which changes in land use can be observed, such as the replacement of less profitable crops by more profitable ones. profitable. Like all agricultural activities, grain production is subject to various risks due to adverse weather conditions. Thus, the present study aimed to identify the impacts of the substitution effect on the relative risk of loss of productivity in both corn and soybean crops, for the microregions of MATOPIBA, in the period from 2001 to 2020, using the shift methodology. share and coefficient of variation. The results demonstrate that soybeans had a greater substitution effect than corn crops, while corn crops had higher coefficients of variation than soybeans.

Author Biographies

Beatriz Salandin Dal Pozzo, University of Sao Paulo

Economista. Doutoranda no Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia Aplicada pela Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz, Universidade de São Paulo. Av. Pádua Dias, 11, Piracicaba – SP, 13418-900. beatriz.pozzo@usp.br

Marisa Guilherme da Frota, University of Sao Paulo

Economist. Master in Rural Economics from the Federal University of Ceará. PhD student in the Postgraduate Program in Applied Economics at the Luiz de Queiroz College of Agriculture, University of São Paulo. Av. Padua Dias, 11, Piracicaba – SP, 13418-900. marisagf@usp.br

Gabriele Silva de Almeida, University of Sao Paulo

Engenheira Agronôma. Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz, Universidade de São Paulo. Av. Pádua Dias, 11, Piracicaba – SP, 13418-900. gabrielealmeida@usp.br

Vitor Augosto Ozaki, University of São Paulo - "Luiz de Queiroz" Higher School of Agriculture

Engenheiro Agronômo. Doutor em Economia Aplicada pela Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz, Universidade de São Paulo. Professor nos Departamentos de Ciências Exatas, de Economia, Administração e Sociologia e de Estatística e Experimentação Agronômica da Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz, Universidade de São Paulo. Av. Pádua Dias, 11, Piracicaba – SP, 13418-900. vitorozaki@usp.br

Gilson Martins, Universidade Federal do Paraná

Engenheiro Florestal. Doutor em Economia pela Universidade de Freiburg. Professor no Departamento de Economia Rural e Extensão da Universidade Federal do Paraná. Rua XV de Novembro, 1299 - Centro, Curitiba - PR, 80060-000. gilson.martins@ufpr.br

Published

2024-10-31

How to Cite

Dal Pozzo, B. S., Frota, M. G. da, Almeida, G. S. de, Ozaki, V. A., & Martins, G. (2024). RISK ANALYSIS OF SOYBEAN AND CORN CROPS IN THE MATOPIBA REGION. Revista Econômica Do Nordeste, 55(4), 63–85. https://doi.org/10.61673/ren.2024.1576

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Artigos