MODELOS DE PREVISÃO PARA O ICMS DO ESTADO DO CEARÁ

Authors

  • Castelar Ivan Professor do Curso de Pós-graduação em Economia (CAEN), da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
  • Tatiwa Ferreira Roberto Mestrando em Economia pelo CAEN
  • Carneiro Linhares Fabrício Aluno do Curso de Economia da UFC e Bolsista do Centro Nacional de Pesquisa (CNPq)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61673/ren.1996.2138

Keywords:

Tax Revenue, Revenue Forecasting, Value Added Tax, Brazil-Northeastern Region-Ceará

Abstract

The main purpose of this paper was to predict VAT State revenue. Three different time series were used: Exponential Smoothing, Box Jenkins and a Transfer Function model. To avoid loss of information, the more modern approach of combining individual forecasts was used. The results of combining were more robust than individual forecasts, a well established fact in the literature

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Published

1996-10-30

How to Cite

Ivan, C., Roberto , T. F., & Fabrício, C. L. (1996). MODELOS DE PREVISÃO PARA O ICMS DO ESTADO DO CEARÁ. Revista Econômica Do Nordeste, 27(4), 583–606. https://doi.org/10.61673/ren.1996.2138

Issue

Vol. 27 No. 4 (1996)

Section

Artigos